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2026-01-22

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars James Madison Dukes Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: James Madison Dukes -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Olsen 38 8-16 4-10 6-7 3 3 2 0 1 26 17 +8.3
JJ Wheat 29 5-8 1-1 6-8 3 3 3 0 0 17 18 +8.8
H. Louis-Jeune 28 1-5 1-5 0-2 1 0 3 0 0 3 2 -5.1
J. Cooper 28 3-7 2-3 6-8 5 0 0 0 0 14 12 +3.2
S. Williams 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 6 9 +7.7
C. Harris 21 5-9 0-0 5-11 9 3 3 0 1 15 20 -3.8
R. Brady 18 3-8 2-5 1-3 3 1 1 0 1 9 5 -3.7
J. Broom 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 +5.1
B. Hawthorne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis 36 4-16 4-16 1-2 4 6 0 0 1 13 6 +3.2
J. McBride 33 9-12 5-6 7-9 12 1 0 0 3 30 28 -3.3
B. Douglas 32 3-9 3-9 1-2 0 6 1 0 5 10 3 -0.7
P. Fowler 28 3-8 3-7 3-3 7 3 0 0 2 12 12 -0.4
E. Ricks III 20 1-2 0-1 5-7 6 2 1 1 1 7 14 -5.2
G. Newhof 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 2 5 +0.8
C. Brown 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
K. Egbule 9 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 5 1 -1.9
E. Wilborn 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -7.1
P. Jones III 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.0

* = starter