Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | +7.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +2 (66-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | -5.4 |
| Tamario Adley * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Logan McIntire * | 28 | 7-19 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | +0.5 |
| P. Brooks * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Keenan Garner * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | 22 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Nick Mullen | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Rodney Johnson Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Will Ashford | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen * | 33 | 6-18 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Jayden Cooper * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Randy Brady * | 32 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -8.1 |
| Chaze Harris * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +0.9 |
| Peyton Law * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -10.1 |
| Stephen Williams | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Brian Hawthorne | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.2 |
| JJ Wheat | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| John Broom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
* = starter