Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 42 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Hall | 40 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| J. Bolden | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| F. Emmou | 27 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| K. Gumbs | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Fields | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Sant | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Willis | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Olsen | 45 | 6-17 | 5-13 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| J. Cooper | 42 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| C. Harris | 40 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 26 | - |
| R. Brady | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| H. Louis-Jeune | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Broom | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| JJ Wheat | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter