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Pepperdine Waves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Pepperdine Waves
Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

70.6
PPG
67.0
Opp
+3.6
Margin
44.3%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
38.6
RPG
15.7
APG
16.4
TO
71.8
Est. poss./game
67.7
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#135
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1075 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1056 (#112) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +2.8 (#133) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +0.0 (#164) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.619 (#131) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.0 More → 0.619 (#131) NetEff +4.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.617 (#137) AdjNet +4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.617 (#138) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.555 (#135) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.507 (#158) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.586 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.577 (#139) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 32 More → 1079 (#128) RD 102 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 84 - 70
2025-11-08 vs Westmont Warriors W 74 - 51
2025-11-14 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 56 - 85
2025-11-19 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 80 - 74
2025-11-23 vs San José State Spartans W 76 - 52
2025-11-28 @ USC Trojans L 52 - 82
2025-12-03 vs California Baptist Lancers W 69 - 58
2025-12-06 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 65 - 45
2025-12-13 vs Cal State Los Angeles Golden Eagles W 80 - 72
2025-12-16 vs North Dakota State Bison L 80 - 82
2025-12-17 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 73 - 65
2025-12-20 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 69 - 63
2025-12-28 @ Washington State Cougars L 63 - 66
2025-12-30 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 52 - 75
2026-01-02 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 60 - 52
2026-01-08 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 78 - 83
2026-01-10 @ San Diego Toreros L 51 - 54
2026-01-15 vs Pacific Tigers W 71 - 53
2026-01-17 vs Oregon State Beavers L 68 - 69
2026-01-22 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 51 - 53
2026-01-24 vs Portland Pilots W 86 - 68
2026-01-29 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 90 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 74 - 72
2026-02-07 vs Washington State Cougars W 78 - 62
2026-02-12 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 62 - 72
2026-02-14 @ San Francisco Dons L 70 - 81
2026-02-19 vs San Diego Toreros W 76 - 55
2026-02-21 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 80 - 63
2026-02-26 @ Portland Pilots W 70 - 63
2026-02-28 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 81 - 67
2026-03-07 vs San Francisco Dons L 69 - 86
2026-03-19 vs UC Davis Aggies W 71 - 68
2026-03-22 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 85 - 80
2026-03-26 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 57 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elli Guiney Elli Guiney G 34 32.3 15.0 3.9 2.7 0.7 0.6 2.6 10.7 9.7 143 31 4.6 5.9 46.8 41.6 82.2 3.59 61.3 56.7
Lina Falk Lina Falk G 29 30.2 11.7 4.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.8 9.1 7.9 152 26 5.8 7.6 47.0 39.4 79.0 4.55 58.0 54.7
Meghan Fiso Meghan Fiso G 34 27.9 10.9 4.8 2.0 0.8 0.4 1.9 10.2 6.8 72 31 2.3 3.4 42.8 25.4 68.7 -0.24 48.2 45.1
Shorna Preston Shorna Preston F 34 22.5 7.6 8.4 2.3 1.5 1.1 2.7 6.5 11.6 58 31 1.9 3.4 45.2 25.7 64.5 -3.07 52.0 49.3
Taija Sta. Maria Taija Sta. Maria G 34 30.4 7.3 2.2 3.6 0.7 0.1 2.3 5.6 6.0 55 31 1.8 2.4 46.3 28.3 80.3 -1.0 56.0 50.3
Seleh Harmon Seleh Harmon G 34 21.2 6.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 6.2 2.9 9 31 0.3 0.6 38.7 37.3 76.9 -1.11 52.1 51.2
Bella Green Bella Green G 34 15.8 6.6 5.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.6 5.3 7.4 30 31 1.0 2.5 48.9 39.1 79.2 -0.4 55.4 51.4
Ivory Finley Ivory Finley G 32 16.5 4.4 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.3 -38 29 -1.3 -3.3 39.2 33.8 67.7 -3.54 50.9 48.0
Irune Orio Irune Orio F 23 10.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.1 35 20 1.8 7.4 36.8 11.5 73.7 2.65 45.1 39.5
Quinn VanSickle Quinn VanSickle G 3 7.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 0.3 - - - - 28.6 33.3 0 -2.98 42.9 42.9
Zoe Shanahan Zoe Shanahan F 16 4.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 -29 15 -1.9 -19.5 42.9 0.0 100.0 -5.2 50.8 42.9
Ilinca Belegante Ilinca Belegante G 15 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 -0.2 -6 11 -0.5 -10.7 14.3 16.7 66.7 -1.96 30.0 21.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1980 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Guiney17% Fiso24% Fiso52% Fiso40% Fiso29% Guiney33% Guiney40% Guiney29% Falk25% Guiney32%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Guiney18% Fiso24% Fiso47% Fiso62% Fiso35% Guiney27% Guiney24% Guiney21% Harmon18% Guiney26%
Misses: who misses most here

Elli GuineyMeghan FisoLina FalkSeleh Harmon

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 331-590 56.1 662 Elli Guiney 17% (114 pts) Shorna Preston 16% (108 pts) Elli Guiney 18% (47 misses) Meghan Fiso 17% (44 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 235-508 46.3 470 Meghan Fiso 24% (114 pts) Bella Green 15% (72 pts) Meghan Fiso 24% (66 misses) Elli Guiney 15% (40 misses)
Mid-range left 21-57 36.8 42 Meghan Fiso 52% (22 pts) Elli Guiney 14% (6 pts) Meghan Fiso 47% (17 misses) Ivory Finley 14% (5 misses)
Mid-range center 15-31 48.4 30 Meghan Fiso 40% (12 pts) Elli Guiney 13% (4 pts) Meghan Fiso 62% (10 misses) Irune Orio 12% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 24-64 37.5 48 Meghan Fiso 29% (14 pts) Taija Sta. Maria 29% (14 pts) Meghan Fiso 35% (14 misses) Seleh Harmon 20% (8 misses)
Left corner 3 27-72 37.5 81 Elli Guiney 33% (27 pts) Seleh Harmon 26% (21 pts) Elli Guiney 27% (12 misses) Ivory Finley 18% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 30-76 39.5 90 Elli Guiney 40% (36 pts) Seleh Harmon 27% (24 pts) Elli Guiney 24% (11 misses) Lina Falk 15% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 70-214 32.7 210 Elli Guiney 29% (60 pts) Seleh Harmon 29% (60 pts) Elli Guiney 21% (30 misses) Seleh Harmon 19% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center 44-133 33.1 132 Lina Falk 25% (33 pts) Shorna Preston 20% (27 pts) Seleh Harmon 18% (16 misses) Shorna Preston 17% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 right 80-235 34.0 240 Elli Guiney 32% (78 pts) Lina Falk 15% (36 pts) Elli Guiney 26% (40 misses) Seleh Harmon 20% (31 misses)