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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 5.6% 94.4% - ✓
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 13.4% 86.6% - ✓

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Cummins 31 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 1 -20.9
Rylei Waugh 28 2-12 0-3 6-6 6 3 0 1 2 10 6 +6.3
Maya Anderson 26 2-9 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 1 3 7 -2 -5.0
Amira Brown 23 1-5 1-4 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 6 6 -10.4
Carla Fuster 21 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 5 4 -3.7
Gabriela Pato 18 3-10 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 1 -4.4
Kaliyah Dillard 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 2 1 1 7 -10.1
Katarina Anderson 12 3-4 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 1 3 9 6 +1.9
Amelie Sitterud 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -14.8
Harisa Mehmedovic 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 -3 -2.5
Mecca Alexander 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.7

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taija Sta. Maria 29 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 6 4 +4.8
Elli Guiney 27 7-14 3-6 2-2 3 3 2 1 5 19 9 +23.5
Seleh Harmon 24 5-11 4-7 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 14 4 -6.3
Meghan Fiso 24 2-5 1-1 2-3 10 1 1 1 0 7 15 +16.7
Shorna Preston 23 5-9 3-4 0-0 8 2 2 4 2 13 18 +8.4
Lina Falk 22 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 3 2 0 2 4 7 +15.4
Irune Orio 16 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.4
Bella Green 13 4-8 1-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 9 8 +1.6
Ivory Finley 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.7
Zoe Shanahan 9 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -3.0
Ilinca Belegante 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter