Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -20 (45-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taija Sta. Maria | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +15.3 |
| Elli Guiney | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +13.7 |
| Shorna Preston | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | +7.7 |
| Meghan Fiso | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Lina Falk | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Seleh Harmon | 22 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +15.6 |
| Bella Green | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Ivory Finley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | -5.1 |
| Irune Orio | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Ilinca Belegante | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Zoe Shanahan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaisa Gamble | 38 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -11.2 |
| Emilia Long | 36 | 9-26 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 8 | -14.5 |
| Avery Watkins | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Danae Powell | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -14.5 |
| Ava Marr | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Hedda Koehne | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -18.6 |
| Djessira Diawara | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Indiya Clarke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Morelia Chavez | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Aloni Oliver | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter