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North Carolina Tar Heels

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2023 Team Stats (27 games)

68.8
PPG
58.1
Opp
+11.5
Margin
41.9%
FG%
31.2%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
37.6
RPG
12.6
APG
14.9
TO
83.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1194 (#64) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#30) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +46.1 (#25) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.943 (#14) -

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-09 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 91 - 59
2022-11-12 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 75 - 48
2022-11-16 vs South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs W 93 - 25
2022-11-20 @ James Madison Dukes W 76 - 65
2022-11-24 @ Oregon Ducks W 85 - 79
2022-12-07 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 64 - 42
2022-12-11 vs Wofford Terriers W 99 - 67
2022-12-16 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 89 - 47
2022-12-29 vs Florida State Seminoles L 71 - 78
2023-01-01 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 65 - 68
2023-01-05 @ Miami Hurricanes L 58 - 62
2023-01-08 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 60 - 50
2023-01-12 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 70 - 59
2023-01-15 vs NC State Wolfpack W 56 - 47
2023-01-19 vs Duke Blue Devils W 61 - 56
2023-01-22 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 70 - 57
2023-01-26 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 72 - 57
2023-01-29 @ Clemson Tigers W 69 - 58
2023-02-02 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 73 - 62
2023-02-09 @ Syracuse Orange L 67 - 75
2023-02-12 vs Boston College Eagles W 73 - 55
2023-02-16 @ NC State Wolfpack L 66 - 77
2023-02-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 71 - 58
2023-02-23 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 59 - 61
2023-02-26 @ Duke Blue Devils W 45 - 41
2023-03-03 @ Duke Blue Devils L 40 - 44
2023-03-18 vs St. John's Red Storm W 61 - 59
2023-03-20 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 71

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Kelly D. Kelly G 26 35.8 16.8 3.9 3.1 1.3 0.2 2.5 15.3 7.6 - - - 39.2 29.7 71.2 - 47.7 42.6
A. Ustby A. Ustby G 23 31.3 13.1 8.2 2.1 1.9 1.0 3.2 11.1 12.1 - - - 51.0 33.3 59.3 - 54.2 52.9
K. Todd-Williams K. Todd-Williams G 27 31.9 13.0 5.3 1.5 1.3 0.2 2.6 12.2 6.5 - - - 38.2 29.9 80.0 - 48.5 44.2
E. Hodgson E. Hodgson G 20 28.0 8.6 1.7 2.6 1.3 0.1 1.5 6.7 6.2 - - - 39.6 38.8 96.6 - 58.6 53.7
K. McPherson K. McPherson G 11 20.5 7.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 0.0 2.5 7.3 3.1 - - - 38.8 29.0 50.0 - 45.6 44.4
P. Paris P. Paris G 27 20.3 6.7 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.0 6.1 3.9 - - - 39.4 34.0 74.1 - 51.4 49.1
A. Poole A. Poole F 26 21.3 5.0 6.3 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.0 4.0 8.6 - - - 54.3 0 64.0 - 56.0 54.3
D. Adams D. Adams G 27 17.1 3.9 3.7 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.9 3.4 6.0 - - - 45.1 25.0 53.6 - 51.3 50.0
T. Key T. Key F 23 10.0 2.2 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.3 1.9 2.6 - - - 36.4 0.0 57.6 - 43.6 36.4
A. Zelaya A. Zelaya F 23 9.9 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.6 2.0 - - - 32.4 11.1 100.0 - 38.7 35.1
M. Tshitenge M. Tshitenge F 14 6.9 0.9 1.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 47.2 50.0
A. Young A. Young G 3 4.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG