Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -4 (41-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 38 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. McPherson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Poole | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Adams | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P. Paris | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Key | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 29 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Day-Wilson | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Balogun | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Oliver | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Richardson | 19 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Corosdale | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Jackson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Heide | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter