Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Everett | 37 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Bailey | 35 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Archer | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| U. Drake | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| R. Peeples | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| M. Reid | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Patterson | 18 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Cosgrove | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 33 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Ustby | 28 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Poole | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Adams | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Paris | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Key | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. McPherson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter