Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (44-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 38 | 3-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Kelly | 36 | 4-22 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -6 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Adams | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Poole | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. McPherson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Paris | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 36 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Day-Wilson | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Balogun | 28 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Richardson | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Heide | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Corosdale | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Brown | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Jackson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Oliver | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter