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2023-01-01

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
ELO 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 72.1% 27.9% -5.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Todd-Williams 34 3-14 1-5 2-2 5 1 2 1 9 2
D. Kelly 34 9-17 1-2 2-2 3 3 3 4 21 9
E. Hodgson 30 2-6 1-3 - 1 1 5 -1
A. Poole 27 -1 - 1-2 8 2 1 10
A. Ustby 23 6-8 - - 5 1 2 12 8
P. Paris 22 6-9 2-4 1-2 2 15 8
A. Zelaya 13 -2 -2 - 1 1 -2
T. Key 10 -2 - - 2 1 -1
D. Adams 7 -1 - 2-2 1 2 2

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
G. Amoore 40 7-17 6-14 4-5 2 6 7 24 8
Player #4433309 39 5-11 - 3-4 7 1 1 6 13 5
C. King 37 3-8 3-7 3-3 8 1 1 1 1 12 14
D. Gregg 33 3-9 2-6 3-3 10 2 1 1 11 14
Player #4398947 27 1-4 -2 1-1 3 5 1 1 3 7
Player #4398567 18 2-5 1-1 - 5 1 1 1 4 5 4
T. Geiman 6 -1 -1 - 1 0

* = starter