Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown | 31 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Day-Wilson | 30 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 7-13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| E. Balogun | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| R. Richardson | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Taylor | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Oliver | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Corosdale | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jackson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Heide | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 39 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| D. Kelly | 39 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Poole | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Paris | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter