Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 35 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| A. Ustby | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 31 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Poole | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 25 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| D. Adams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| P. Paris | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Key | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jefferson | 31 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 8-12 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 26 | - |
| K. Kozlova | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| P. McDaniel | 30 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Hazell | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| C. Neff | 25 | 1-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Sterling | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Ouderkirk | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Rowe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter