Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dale | 35 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Valladay | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| A. Smith | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Taylor | 25 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| P. Paris | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| A. Ustby | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Poole | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| K. McPherson | 18 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Key | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Adams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter