Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 44 | 8-21 | -5 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 2 | |
| K. Todd-Williams | 39 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | ||
| K. McPherson | 35 | 3-12 | -5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | |
| A. Zelaya | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
| P. Paris | 29 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | ||
| D. Adams | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | - | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
| A. Poole | 21 | 2-5 | - | - | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | ||
| T. Key | 2 | - | - | -2 | 1 | 1 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4433514 | 38 | 2-6 | -2 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| J. Boyd | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | |
| J. Brown-Turner | 34 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | |
| D. Johnson | 25 | 1-10 | -6 | - | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | |
| M. Collins | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | ||
| Player #4433807 | 22 | 7-13 | -3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | ||
| C. Hobby | 17 | 2-6 | - | - | 3 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| M. Hayes | 16 | 1-4 | -1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| R. Baldwin | 12 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
* = starter