Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (56-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown-Turner | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Hayes | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 32 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Hobby | 29 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Collins | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Boyd | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Rivers | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. James | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Timmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hodgson | 36 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| D. Kelly | 32 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 27 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P. Paris | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Adams | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Poole | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Key | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter