Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.3% | 0.7% | -27.6 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -15 (57-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 40 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| D. Kelly | 40 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 38 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| P. Paris | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Poole | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Adams | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| T. Key | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Strickland | 27 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Harris | 25 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| L. King | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson | 23 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | - |
| E. Hayford | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Washenitz | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Ezeja | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Exanor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Lewis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter