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Minnesota Timberwolves

Also known as: Minnesota Timberwolves
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1152 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1055 (#63) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +9.0 (#15) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.398 (#28) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.4 More → 0.400 (#25) NetEff -4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.4 More → 0.598 (#24) AdjNet +3.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.5 More → 0.600 (#24) AdjNet +3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.9 | AdjD 113.8 More → 0.570 (#24) AdjO 116.9 | AdjD 113.8

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 @ BKN W 127 - 126
2019-10-25 @ CHA W 121 - 99
2019-10-27 vs MIA W 116 - 109
2019-10-30 @ PHI L 95 - 117
2019-11-03 @ WAS W 131 - 109
2019-11-05 vs MIL L 106 - 134
2019-11-07 @ MEM L 121 - 137
2019-11-09 vs GSW W 125 - 119
2019-11-10 vs DEN L 98 - 100
2019-11-12 @ DET W 120 - 114
2019-11-14 vs SAS W 129 - 114
2019-11-16 vs WAS L 116 - 137
2019-11-17 vs HOU L 105 - 125
2019-11-19 @ UTA W 112 - 102
2019-11-21 vs UTA L 95 - 103
2019-11-23 vs PHX L 98 - 100
2019-11-26 @ ATL W 125 - 113
2019-11-28 @ SAS W 113 - 101
2019-12-01 vs MEM L 107 - 115
2019-12-04 @ DAL L 114 - 121
2019-12-06 @ OKC L 127 - 139
2019-12-09 @ LAL L 125 - 142
2019-12-10 @ PHX L 109 - 125
2019-12-12 vs UTA L 116 - 127
2019-12-14 vs LAC L 117 - 124
2019-12-19 vs NOP L 99 - 107
2019-12-21 @ DEN L 100 - 109
2019-12-22 @ POR L 106 - 113
2019-12-24 @ GSW L 104 - 113
2019-12-27 @ SAC W 105 - 104
2019-12-29 vs CLE L 88 - 94
2019-12-31 vs BKN W 122 - 115
2020-01-02 @ MIL L 104 - 106
2020-01-03 vs GSW W 99 - 84
2020-01-06 @ CLE W 118 - 103
2020-01-08 @ MEM L 112 - 119
2020-01-10 vs POR W 116 - 102
2020-01-11 @ HOU L 109 - 139
2020-01-14 vs OKC L 104 - 117
2020-01-16 vs IND L 99 - 104
2020-01-17 @ IND L 114 - 116
2020-01-19 vs TOR L 112 - 122
2020-01-21 vs DEN L 100 - 107
2020-01-23 @ CHI L 110 - 117
2020-01-24 vs HOU L 124 - 131
2020-01-25 vs OKC L 104 - 113
2020-01-27 vs SAC L 129 - 133
2020-02-01 @ LAC L 106 - 118
2020-02-03 @ SAC L 109 - 113
2020-02-05 vs ATL L 120 - 127
2020-02-08 vs LAC W 142 - 115
2020-02-10 @ TOR L 126 - 137
2020-02-12 vs CHA L 108 - 115
2020-02-21 vs BOS L 117 - 127
2020-02-23 @ DEN L 116 - 128
2020-02-24 @ DAL L 123 - 139
2020-02-27 @ MIA W 129 - 126
2020-02-29 @ ORL W 89 - 83
2020-03-01 vs DAL L 91 - 111
2020-03-03 @ NOP W 139 - 134
2020-03-05 vs CHI W 115 - 108
2020-03-06 vs ORL L 118 - 132
2020-03-08 vs NOP L 107 - 120
2020-03-11 @ HOU L 111 - 117

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Karl-Anthony Towns Karl-Anthony Towns C 35 33.5 26.5 10.8 4.4 0.9 1.2 0.0 17.8 26.0 - - - 50.8 41.2 79.6 - 64.2 60.0
Andrew Wiggins Andrew Wiggins SG 42 34.2 22.4 5.2 3.7 0.7 0.9 0.0 18.8 14.1 - - - 44.4 33.1 72.0 - 53.5 50.2
D'Angelo Russell D'Angelo Russell PG 12 31.2 21.7 4.5 6.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 17.1 17.1 - - - 42.4 35.5 87.3 - 56.7 51.7
Malik Beasley Malik Beasley SG 14 31.6 20.1 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 16.0 11.6 - - - 47.8 42.6 75.0 - 59.5 58.0
Jeff Teague Jeff Teague PG 34 27.3 13.2 2.6 6.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 9.5 13.5 - - - 44.8 37.9 86.8 - 57.8 49.8
Robert Covington Robert Covington PF 48 28.9 12.8 6.0 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.0 10.3 12.2 - - - 43.5 34.6 79.8 - 57.2 54.4
Juancho Hernangomez Juancho Hernangomez PF 14 28.2 12.0 7.1 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 12.2 - - - 43.9 40.0 59.1 - 55.5 53.8
James Johnson C 14 22.7 11.8 4.6 3.6 1.2 1.4 0.0 9.0 13.6 - - - 50.0 37.8 71.0 - 59.1 56.7
Shabazz Napier PG 36 23.3 9.6 3.1 5.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.9 11.3 - - - 40.3 29.6 81.8 - 53.9 48.6
Jarrett Culver Jarrett Culver SG 63 23.3 9.2 3.3 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.0 9.0 6.8 - - - 40.6 30.0 46.2 - 46.9 46.4
Naz Reid Naz Reid C 30 15.8 9.0 4.1 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 8.1 7.6 - - - 41.2 33.0 69.8 - 50.5 47.7
Jake Layman Jake Layman SG 23 21.1 8.8 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 7.6 5.5 - - - 45.4 32.9 73.3 - 54.2 52.0
Josh Okogie Josh Okogie SG 62 24.4 8.6 4.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 6.4 9.6 - - - 42.7 26.6 79.4 - 55.2 47.9
Jordan McLaughlin Jordan McLaughlin PG 30 18.8 7.6 1.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.9 8.7 - - - 49.4 39.2 66.7 - 59.2 57.7
Gorgui Dieng Gorgui Dieng C 46 16.4 7.4 5.6 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.0 6.0 9.9 - - - 44.8 38.3 79.7 - 56.3 53.1
Keita Bates-Diop Keita Bates-Diop - 37 17.0 6.8 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 5.6 6.0 - - - 42.2 33.0 70.8 - 53.5 49.8
Kelan Martin SF 31 15.3 6.4 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 4.9 - - - 39.7 26.0 96.8 - 51.1 46.6
Treveon Graham SG 33 19.5 5.2 3.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 4.4 - - - 35.4 24.1 73.0 - 44.7 41.1
Noah Vonleh Noah Vonleh PF 29 11.5 4.1 4.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 6.6 - - - 54.7 14.3 82.1 - 60.5 55.8
Jaylen Nowell Jaylen Nowell - 15 9.7 3.8 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 2.7 - - - 35.8 11.5 94.1 - 47.1 38.7
Allen Crabbe - 9 14.1 3.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 1.3 - - - 32.4 23.1 50.0 - 41.6 41.2
Jordan Bell Jordan Bell - 27 8.2 3.1 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.2 4.7 - - - 53.3 22.2 58.6 - 57.0 55.0
Jarred Vanderbilt Jarred Vanderbilt - 2 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jacob Evans - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG