Minnesota Timberwolves
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1152 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1055 (#63) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#15) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.398 (#28) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.400 (#25) | NetEff -4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.598 (#24) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.600 (#24) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.570 (#24) | AdjO 116.9 | AdjD 113.8 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-23 | @ | BKN | W | 127 - 126 |
| 2019-10-25 | @ | CHA | W | 121 - 99 |
| 2019-10-27 | vs | MIA | W | 116 - 109 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ | PHI | L | 95 - 117 |
| 2019-11-03 | @ | WAS | W | 131 - 109 |
| 2019-11-05 | vs | MIL | L | 106 - 134 |
| 2019-11-07 | @ | MEM | L | 121 - 137 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | GSW | W | 125 - 119 |
| 2019-11-10 | vs | DEN | L | 98 - 100 |
| 2019-11-12 | @ | DET | W | 120 - 114 |
| 2019-11-14 | vs | SAS | W | 129 - 114 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | WAS | L | 116 - 137 |
| 2019-11-17 | vs | HOU | L | 105 - 125 |
| 2019-11-19 | @ | UTA | W | 112 - 102 |
| 2019-11-21 | vs | UTA | L | 95 - 103 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | PHX | L | 98 - 100 |
| 2019-11-26 | @ | ATL | W | 125 - 113 |
| 2019-11-28 | @ | SAS | W | 113 - 101 |
| 2019-12-01 | vs | MEM | L | 107 - 115 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ | DAL | L | 114 - 121 |
| 2019-12-06 | @ | OKC | L | 127 - 139 |
| 2019-12-09 | @ | LAL | L | 125 - 142 |
| 2019-12-10 | @ | PHX | L | 109 - 125 |
| 2019-12-12 | vs | UTA | L | 116 - 127 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | LAC | L | 117 - 124 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | NOP | L | 99 - 107 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | DEN | L | 100 - 109 |
| 2019-12-22 | @ | POR | L | 106 - 113 |
| 2019-12-24 | @ | GSW | L | 104 - 113 |
| 2019-12-27 | @ | SAC | W | 105 - 104 |
| 2019-12-29 | vs | CLE | L | 88 - 94 |
| 2019-12-31 | vs | BKN | W | 122 - 115 |
| 2020-01-02 | @ | MIL | L | 104 - 106 |
| 2020-01-03 | vs | GSW | W | 99 - 84 |
| 2020-01-06 | @ | CLE | W | 118 - 103 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | MEM | L | 112 - 119 |
| 2020-01-10 | vs | POR | W | 116 - 102 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | HOU | L | 109 - 139 |
| 2020-01-14 | vs | OKC | L | 104 - 117 |
| 2020-01-16 | vs | IND | L | 99 - 104 |
| 2020-01-17 | @ | IND | L | 114 - 116 |
| 2020-01-19 | vs | TOR | L | 112 - 122 |
| 2020-01-21 | vs | DEN | L | 100 - 107 |
| 2020-01-23 | @ | CHI | L | 110 - 117 |
| 2020-01-24 | vs | HOU | L | 124 - 131 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | OKC | L | 104 - 113 |
| 2020-01-27 | vs | SAC | L | 129 - 133 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | LAC | L | 106 - 118 |
| 2020-02-03 | @ | SAC | L | 109 - 113 |
| 2020-02-05 | vs | ATL | L | 120 - 127 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | LAC | W | 142 - 115 |
| 2020-02-10 | @ | TOR | L | 126 - 137 |
| 2020-02-12 | vs | CHA | L | 108 - 115 |
| 2020-02-21 | vs | BOS | L | 117 - 127 |
| 2020-02-23 | @ | DEN | L | 116 - 128 |
| 2020-02-24 | @ | DAL | L | 123 - 139 |
| 2020-02-27 | @ | MIA | W | 129 - 126 |
| 2020-02-29 | @ | ORL | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2020-03-01 | vs | DAL | L | 91 - 111 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | NOP | W | 139 - 134 |
| 2020-03-05 | vs | CHI | W | 115 - 108 |
| 2020-03-06 | vs | ORL | L | 118 - 132 |
| 2020-03-08 | vs | NOP | L | 107 - 120 |
| 2020-03-11 | @ | HOU | L | 111 - 117 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Karl-Anthony Towns
|
C | 35 | 33.5 | 26.5 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 17.8 | 26.0 | - | - | - | 50.8 | 41.2 | 79.6 | - | 64.2 | 60.0 |
Andrew Wiggins
|
SG | 42 | 34.2 | 22.4 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 18.8 | 14.1 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 33.1 | 72.0 | - | 53.5 | 50.2 |
D'Angelo Russell
|
PG | 12 | 31.2 | 21.7 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 17.1 | 17.1 | - | - | - | 42.4 | 35.5 | 87.3 | - | 56.7 | 51.7 |
Malik Beasley
|
SG | 14 | 31.6 | 20.1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 11.6 | - | - | - | 47.8 | 42.6 | 75.0 | - | 59.5 | 58.0 |
Jeff Teague
|
PG | 34 | 27.3 | 13.2 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 37.9 | 86.8 | - | 57.8 | 49.8 |
Robert Covington
|
PF | 48 | 28.9 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 10.3 | 12.2 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 34.6 | 79.8 | - | 57.2 | 54.4 |
Juancho Hernangomez
|
PF | 14 | 28.2 | 12.0 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 12.2 | - | - | - | 43.9 | 40.0 | 59.1 | - | 55.5 | 53.8 |
| James Johnson | C | 14 | 22.7 | 11.8 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.6 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 37.8 | 71.0 | - | 59.1 | 56.7 |
| Shabazz Napier | PG | 36 | 23.3 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 40.3 | 29.6 | 81.8 | - | 53.9 | 48.6 |
Jarrett Culver
|
SG | 63 | 23.3 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 40.6 | 30.0 | 46.2 | - | 46.9 | 46.4 |
Naz Reid
|
C | 30 | 15.8 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 33.0 | 69.8 | - | 50.5 | 47.7 |
Jake Layman
|
SG | 23 | 21.1 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 45.4 | 32.9 | 73.3 | - | 54.2 | 52.0 |
Josh Okogie
|
SG | 62 | 24.4 | 8.6 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 9.6 | - | - | - | 42.7 | 26.6 | 79.4 | - | 55.2 | 47.9 |
Jordan McLaughlin
|
PG | 30 | 18.8 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 49.4 | 39.2 | 66.7 | - | 59.2 | 57.7 |
Gorgui Dieng
|
C | 46 | 16.4 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.9 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 38.3 | 79.7 | - | 56.3 | 53.1 |
Keita Bates-Diop
|
- | 37 | 17.0 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 33.0 | 70.8 | - | 53.5 | 49.8 |
| Kelan Martin | SF | 31 | 15.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 26.0 | 96.8 | - | 51.1 | 46.6 |
| Treveon Graham | SG | 33 | 19.5 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 35.4 | 24.1 | 73.0 | - | 44.7 | 41.1 |
Noah Vonleh
|
PF | 29 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.6 | - | - | - | 54.7 | 14.3 | 82.1 | - | 60.5 | 55.8 |
Jaylen Nowell
|
- | 15 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 35.8 | 11.5 | 94.1 | - | 47.1 | 38.7 |
| Allen Crabbe | - | 9 | 14.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 32.4 | 23.1 | 50.0 | - | 41.6 | 41.2 |
Jordan Bell
|
- | 27 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 22.2 | 58.6 | - | 57.0 | 55.0 |
Jarred Vanderbilt
|
- | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jacob Evans | - | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG