Mercer Bears

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016

Also known as: Mercer Bears

Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

63.5

PPG

61.7

Opp

+1.8

Margin

38.0%

FG%

31.4%

3P%

74.3%

FT%

35.8

RPG

11.5

APG

15.1

69.4

Est. poss./game

59.4

Adj PPG

67.6

Adj Opp PPG

#261

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	941 (#209)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	957 (#209)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	996 (#189)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-9.3 (#268)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-9.7 (#279)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.480 (#180)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.6 More →	0.480 (#180)	NetEff -0.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.2 More →	0.180 (#264)	AdjNet -13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.4 More →	0.174 (#264)	AdjNet -13.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.4 \| AdjD 67.6 More →	0.322 (#261)	AdjO 59.4 \| AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 \| AdjD 64.3 More →	0.414 (#235)	AdjO 60.5 \| AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.323 (#250)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.341 (#246)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 \| GP 28 More →	947 (#216)	RD 154 \| GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	UNC Asheville Bulldogs	W	48 - 39
2025-11-06	vs	Clemson Tigers	L	51 - 72
2025-11-10	vs	Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs	W	61 - 56
2025-11-13	@	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	L	61 - 66
2025-11-19	@	Jackson State Lady Tigers	W	78 - 68
2025-11-22	@	Georgia Southern Eagles	L	72 - 93
2025-11-25	vs	Florida A&M Rattlers	W	75 - 59
2025-11-28	@	Charleston Southern Buccaneers	W	71 - 45
2025-12-03	@	Campbell Fighting Camels	L	49 - 71
2025-12-06	@	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	L	62 - 72
2025-12-14	vs	Mississippi Valley State Devilettes	W	66 - 43
2025-12-17	vs	Erskine Flying Fleet	W	91 - 37
2025-12-20	@	Detroit Mercy Titans	W	64 - 55
2025-12-21	@	Tulane Green Wave	W	70 - 67
2026-01-02	vs	Auburn Montgomery Senators	W	66 - 55
2026-01-08	@	Western Carolina Catamounts	W	84 - 75
2026-01-10	@	UNC Greensboro Spartans	L	59 - 76
2026-01-17	vs	Samford Bulldogs	W	76 - 67
2026-01-22	vs	Furman Paladins	L	49 - 60
2026-01-24	vs	Wofford Terriers	L	64 - 67
2026-01-30	@	Chattanooga Mocs	L	59 - 72
2026-02-05	vs	UNC Greensboro Spartans	W	67 - 58
2026-02-07	vs	Western Carolina Catamounts	W	61 - 51
2026-02-10	@	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	W	50 - 45
2026-02-14	@	Samford Bulldogs	L	48 - 68
2026-02-19	@	Wofford Terriers	L	58 - 72
2026-02-21	@	Furman Paladins	W	80 - 63
2026-02-26	vs	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	L	51 - 58
2026-02-28	vs	Chattanooga Mocs	W	68 - 55
2026-03-05	@	Furman Paladins	L	45 - 66

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Nahawa Diarra	G	29	31.7	11.0	5.4	2.1	1.7	0.0	2.1	10.6	7.6	120	23	5.2	7.3	33.8	34.3	75.7	0.39	45.3	39.3
Ariana Bennett	F	28	23.0	10.1	4.0	0.6	0.7	1.0	1.7	8.1	6.6	75	22	3.4	6.6	44.7	0.0	77.5	-0.54	51.9	44.7
Abby Holtman	G	26	26.1	9.3	3.8	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.9	7.8	6.5	107	23	4.7	7.4	38.1	34.2	88.4	0.25	55.0	50.7
Micah O'Dell	G	25	29.1	9.0	3.1	1.2	0.8	0.4	2.4	9.5	2.6	34	19	1.8	2.7	31.5	29.1	81.1	-2.7	43.1	38.2
Talia Kemp	G	30	23.2	6.6	2.1	3.1	1.6	0.2	2.7	5.5	5.4	80	24	3.3	6.2	42.2	27.6	78.5	-0.58	51.1	44.6
Ste. Utomi	G	30	15.0	6.0	4.0	0.9	1.0	0.4	1.6	4.1	6.6	128	24	5.3	15.0	46.8	0	65.6	3.64	53.8	46.8
Elena Cabello	G	29	18.3	4.9	2.6	0.4	0.8	0.2	1.0	5.5	2.4	48	23	2.1	4.7	35.8	30.2	50.0	-2.89	44.1	44.0
Rania Curry	G	30	20.3	4.6	2.8	1.4	1.3	0.6	1.3	4.3	5.1	116	24	4.8	9.3	40.0	20.0	74.4	2.77	46.7	41.2
Talia Harris	G	26	16.6	3.6	1.9	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.0	4.3	2.0	23	20	1.1	2.8	31.2	29.4	66.7	-3.22	37.5	33.5
Remi-Hope Drantmann	F	26	9.3	2.0	3.2	0.3	0.2	0.5	0.7	2.2	3.3	39	20	1.9	8.6	36.8	0	47.8	-1.6	39.5	36.8
Lex Brewster	F	16	5.0	1.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.1	2.1	19	12	1.6	12.5	58.8	100.0	83.3	-0.38	66.2	61.8
Khadidja Toure	F	6	2.8	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.3	6	5	1.2	15.4	50.0	0	50.0	-2.23	52.1	50.0
Stacy Utomi	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Anaiah White	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1731 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Nahawa DiarraAbby HoltmanAriana BennettMicah O'DellElena CabelloRania CurryTalia Harris

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	221-376	58.8	442	Ariana Bennett 23% (102 pts)	Ste. Utomi 17% (76 pts)	Ariana Bennett 22% (34 misses)	Nahawa Diarra 22% (34 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	157-470	33.4	314	Ariana Bennett 18% (58 pts)	Talia Kemp 18% (58 pts)	Ariana Bennett 19% (59 misses)	Nahawa Diarra 17% (54 misses)
Mid-range left	55-160	34.4	110	Ariana Bennett 29% (32 pts)	Micah O'Dell 20% (22 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 23% (24 misses)	Micah O'Dell 20% (21 misses)
Mid-range center	24-86	27.9	48	Micah O'Dell 25% (12 pts)	Rania Curry 25% (12 pts)	Talia Harris 26% (16 misses)	Micah O'Dell 19% (12 misses)
Mid-range right	42-133	31.6	84	Rania Curry 31% (26 pts)	Talia Harris 17% (14 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 19% (17 misses)	Micah O'Dell 18% (16 misses)
Left corner 3	18-44	40.9	54	Elena Cabello 28% (15 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 28% (15 pts)	Abby Holtman 27% (7 misses)	Nahawa Diarra 27% (7 misses)
Right corner 3	10-29	34.5	30	Abby Holtman 40% (12 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 20% (6 pts)	Abby Holtman 32% (6 misses)	Nahawa Diarra 26% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left	62-196	31.6	186	Micah O'Dell 26% (48 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 26% (48 pts)	Micah O'Dell 28% (38 misses)	Abby Holtman 20% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 center	21-81	25.9	63	Abby Holtman 38% (24 pts)	Micah O'Dell 24% (15 pts)	Micah O'Dell 33% (20 misses)	Abby Holtman 25% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 right	48-156	30.8	144	Abby Holtman 46% (66 pts)	Nahawa Diarra 17% (24 pts)	Abby Holtman 40% (43 misses)	Nahawa Diarra 20% (22 misses)