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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 โœ— (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—

Actual: Furman Paladins -17 (63-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nahawa Diarra 33 4-13 0-2 6-6 3 7 3 0 0 14 14 +18.7
Rania Curry 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 5 0 3 6 5 -4.7
Micah O'Dell 24 3-7 2-3 3-5 3 1 2 0 2 11 8 +26.0
Abby Holtman 23 4-8 2-5 6-6 7 0 0 0 2 16 13 +23.3
Talia Kemp 21 1-6 0-1 4-4 2 4 3 0 2 6 7 +6.2
Ariana Bennett 19 6-11 0-0 4-4 4 0 2 2 2 16 11 +5.9
Talia Harris 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 +12.9
Elena Cabello 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -2.3
Ste. Utomi 15 2-3 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 0 5 9 +24.8
R. Drantmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raina McGowens 39 4-12 1-3 4-6 6 1 1 3 5 13 7 -24.3
Alyssa Ervin 38 4-9 2-6 9-13 5 1 1 2 6 19 13 -18.4
Brooklyn King 33 2-6 2-5 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 6 9 -14.4
Clare Coyle 32 4-9 0-1 3-7 14 1 1 1 3 11 16 +2.8
Sophia Pearl 21 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -14.1
Chantelle Stuart 19 4-7 0-0 3-5 2 2 2 0 4 11 6 -7.8
Samaria Taylor 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -18.3
Kyraha Parnell 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.3
Tyriana Berry 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -4.0

* = starter