Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rivera | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -3.1 |
| S. Godbolt | 26 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +1.7 |
| A. Blankenship | 25 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +5.9 |
| K. Yarbrough | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | +2.9 |
| E. Snoddy | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| F. Morris | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +6.1 |
| C. Baguda | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.4 |
| A. Tarpley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| J. Knight | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -6.4 |
| A. Brewer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.3 |
| M. Bishop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Holtman | 33 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +12.5 |
| N. Diarra | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0.9 |
| A. Bennett | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | -7.1 |
| T. Kemp | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -1.8 |
| M. O'Dell | 23 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +10.7 |
| R. Curry | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1.3 |
| T. Harris | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| E. Cabello | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Ste. Utomi | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.6 |
| R. Drantmann | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.7 |
* = starter