Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M Rattlers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaniyah McCarthy | 39 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | -6.9 |
| Cornelia Ellington | 35 | 3-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | -9.7 |
| Tahnyjia Purifoy | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Brooklyn Swann | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -12.2 |
| Zana Justice | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Breazia Robinson | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -7.5 |
| Thailan Payne | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Aina Subirats | 10 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -11.0 |
| April Hooks | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +2.3 |
| Za'Naria Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah O'Dell | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Ariana Bennett | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Nahawa Diarra | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +16.1 |
| Abby Holtman | 23 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +17.4 |
| Talia Harris | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Elena Cabello | 18 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -11.3 |
| Talia Kemp | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Ste. Utomi | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Rania Curry | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Lex Brewster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| R. Drantmann | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Khadidja Toure | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
* = starter