Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Furman Paladins +21 (66-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Dell | 37 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| N. Diarra | 33 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Kemp | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| E. Cabello | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Harris | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Curry | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Holtman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Bennett | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Brewster | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ervin | 38 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| R. McGowens | 34 | 1-14 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. King | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Pearl | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Coyle | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Parnell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Stuart | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Berry | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Englert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter