Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +15.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5 (66-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahawa Diarra * | 35 | 7-20 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Micah O'Dell * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ste. Utomi * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ariana Bennett * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Talia Kemp * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Elena Cabello | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Talia Harris | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Remi-Hope Drantmann | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lex Brewster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rania Curry | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Sorbye * | 35 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Grace Oliver * | 35 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Mary Carter * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Milan Brown * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Moore * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Raven Preston | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Opal Bird | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Caitlyn Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Madisyn Jordan | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Emily Johns | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter