Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menendez | 34 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +9.0 |
| Makayla Legette | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Nyla Walker | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Jaelyn Acker | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | +2.6 |
| Amina Gray | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Amira Ofunniyin | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Kamille Henriksen | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Rafferty Powell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.6 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah O'Dell | 37 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -9.5 |
| Nahawa Diarra | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Talia Harris | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Elena Cabello | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -0.5 |
| Ariana Bennett | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -10.3 |
| Talia Kemp | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Rania Curry | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +4.7 |
| Ste. Utomi | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +11.7 |
| R. Drantmann | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter