Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -9 (39-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah O'Dell | 32 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3 | -6.2 |
| Ariana Bennett | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Talia Kemp | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Nahawa Diarra | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Talia Harris | 21 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -0.2 |
| R. Drantmann | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +7.4 |
| Abby Holtman | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Elena Cabello | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Rania Curry | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Ste. Utomi | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +7.8 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Journee McDaniel | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Nia Green | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Aileen Marquez | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | +8.0 |
| D'Yanna Maxey | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +9.9 |
| Taliya Council | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Clementina Odom | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Jamaria Freeman | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -7 | -14.0 |
| Trinity Fields | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -16.4 |
| Deb Orianegbena | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -7.8 |
| Kamaria Gipson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -13.7 |
| Jaidyn Koerdt | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Sara Yarnell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
* = starter