Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Levine | 35 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +1.8 |
| J. Lee | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -15.8 |
| R. Moffitt | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -8.9 |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -10.1 |
| M. Asidanya | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -8.1 |
| C. Harris | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -18.2 |
| M. Simpson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +3.5 |
| L. Minor | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -3.7 |
| K. Rakotobe | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| S. Traore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Dell | 32 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +13.2 |
| N. Diarra | 31 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +8.3 |
| T. Kemp | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +8.2 |
| R. Curry | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +14.1 |
| E. Cabello | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +8.1 |
| A. Holtman | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.3 |
| A. Bennett | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| T. Harris | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | +5.4 |
| Ste. Utomi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +3.8 |
| L. Brewster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Drantmann | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter