Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | +1.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -1.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +13 (68-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Corbitt * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Caia Elisaldez * | 35 | 7-23 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Izzy McPherson * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ava Card * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Falon Bedke * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Sarah Owona | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| London Weaver | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| F. van der Schans | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Evie Bruce | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah O'Dell * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Abigail Holtman * | 30 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rania Curry * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Nahawa Diarra * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Talia Kemp * | 23 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Ariana Bennett | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Talia Harris | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter