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2026-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Holtman 33 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 5 -8.6
T. Kemp 28 5-7 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 4 11 6 -2.7
M. O'Dell 27 5-12 2-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 4 13 2 -8.1
N. Diarra 25 2-8 2-4 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 7 3 -8.5
R. Curry 25 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 3 0 1 7 10 +3.7
A. Bennett 21 2-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -14.1
Ste. Utomi 15 1-4 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 6 5 +4.8
T. Harris 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -8.5
E. Cabello 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0
R. Drantmann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elisaldez 39 7-12 0-1 5-6 3 8 4 0 3 19 19 +15.4
I. McPherson 36 6-12 4-7 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 16 10 +14.4
A. Card 33 4-8 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 10 7 +15.6
G. Corbitt 33 9-13 2-3 2-2 9 3 2 1 3 22 21 +9.7
F. van der Schans 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 +7.6
S. Owona 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -1.7
E. Bruce 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +7.3
F. Bedke 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -6.0
L. Weaver 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1.1
K. Wilson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.1

* = starter