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Illinois Fighting Illini

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

76.1
PPG
66.7
Opp
+9.4
Margin
44.8%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
81.0%
FT%
35.3
RPG
15.3
APG
12.6
TO
82.1
Pace
78.7
AdjO
55.1
AdjD
#30
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1174 (#76) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1276 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1072 (#97) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +24.4 (#30) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +34.7 (#28) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.855 (#48) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.9 More → 0.869 (#59) NetEff +15.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.7 More → 0.983 (#29) AdjNet +34.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.0 More → 0.985 (#29) AdjNet +36.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 55.1 More → 0.895 (#30) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 55.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 60.2 More → 0.759 (#35) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 60.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.956 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.938 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 30 More → 1237 (#53) RD 112 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 91 - 67
2025-11-09 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 75 - 65
2025-11-14 @ Oregon State Beavers L 59 - 64
2025-11-26 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 70 - 41
2025-11-30 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 100 - 28
2025-12-02 vs Bellarmine Knights W 90 - 41
2025-12-14 vs North Texas Mean Green W 81 - 69
2025-12-19 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 86 - 43
2025-12-28 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 83 - 73
2026-01-01 vs Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 70
2026-01-04 @ Michigan State Spartans L 75 - 81
2026-01-07 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 78
2026-01-11 @ Penn State Lady Lions W 92 - 76
2026-01-15 @ Michigan Wolverines L 69 - 85
2026-01-18 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 71
2026-01-24 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 75 - 81
2026-01-28 vs UCLA Bruins L 67 - 80
2026-02-01 @ Washington Huskies W 75 - 66
2026-02-04 @ Oregon Ducks L 73 - 76
2026-02-08 vs USC Trojans L 62 - 70
2026-02-11 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 92 - 60
2026-02-17 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 76 - 56
2026-02-22 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 92 - 65
2026-02-26 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 78 - 82
2026-03-01 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 73 - 78
2026-03-04 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 82 - 70
2026-03-05 @ Michigan State Spartans W 71 - 69
2026-03-06 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 58 - 64
2026-03-21 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 66 - 57
2026-03-23 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 57 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Wallace B. Wallace F 30 36.0 19.1 6.0 1.8 0.7 0.4 2.1 14.5 11.3 94 3.9 4.7 47.7 34.3 85.9 0.24 58.1 53.0
C. Parchment C. Parchment F 30 29.2 14.0 8.2 1.5 1.7 0.5 1.9 9.6 14.5 132 5.5 8.0 51.2 40.3 80.7 4.38 62.0 56.6
G. Dolan G. Dolan G 14 28.4 11.5 3.7 2.9 1.4 0.4 1.4 11.3 7.1 123 6.8 9.1 36.7 22.2 87.5 2.09 45.8 39.9
M. Webber M. Webber G 30 25.9 10.6 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 1.2 9.3 4.9 123 5.1 8.7 44.2 40.5 77.8 0.33 54.3 52.3
D. Jackson D. Jackson G 30 31.1 10.0 4.1 5.0 1.5 0.2 2.6 7.7 10.5 129 5.2 6.8 41.1 25.0 81.5 2.01 52.4 42.9
J. Brown-Hagger J. Brown-Hagger G 30 24.6 6.7 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.1 1.5 5.8 4.6 61 2.5 4.7 43.7 34.0 70.5 0.1 51.7 48.6
A. Guyton A. Guyton G 28 20.8 6.1 2.0 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.1 5.9 3.9 49 2.5 6.4 37.6 38.6 84.0 0.85 48.9 45.8
L. Vasconcelos L. Vasconcelos C 30 11.6 3.3 3.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.4 3.8 110 4.6 14.3 53.4 0 71.4 2.03 57.4 53.4
I. Noya Catoira I. Noya Catoira F 15 5.8 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.1 20 1.7 10.0 57.1 0.0 50.0 -0.5 57.1 57.1
M. Zenere M. Zenere G 6 3.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 -0.3 -1 -0.2 -3.0 28.6 0.0 0 -0.75 28.6 28.6
N. Benson N. Benson F 19 3.9 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 -11 -0.8 -11.2 70.0 0 0 -1.75 70.0 70.0
G. Segura G. Segura F 7 3.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 -3 -0.6 -9.1 25.0 0 100.0 -0.86 33.8 25.0
H. Smith H. Smith C 18 3.6 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 33 4.7 15.3 0.0 0 100.0 1.16 17.0 0.0
Erica Finney Erica Finney G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Manuella Alves Manuella Alves F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG