Northwestern Wildcats

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Northwestern Wildcats

Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

65.4

PPG

75.9

Opp

-10.5

Margin

42.5%

FG%

30.6%

3P%

71.6%

FT%

33.0

RPG

17.5

APG

15.8

70.5

Est. poss./game

69.2

Adj PPG

65.6

Adj Opp PPG

#122

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	840 (#259)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	933 (#224)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	851 (#337)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	+5.1 (#111)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	+3.1 (#124)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.152 (#299)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.5 More →	0.152 (#299)	NetEff -14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.5 More →	0.727 (#111)	AdjNet +8.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.1 More →	0.743 (#106)	AdjNet +9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 \| AdjD 65.6 More →	0.581 (#122)	AdjO 69.2 \| AdjD 65.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 \| AdjD 69.2 More →	0.390 (#250)	AdjO 64.3 \| AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.494 (#173)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.456 (#189)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 169 \| GP 29 More →	910 (#236)	RD 169 \| GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-05	vs	IU Indianapolis Jaguars	W	67 - 64
2025-11-09	vs	SIU Edwardsville Cougars	W	64 - 51
2025-11-14	vs	Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks	W	69 - 54
2025-11-17	@	DePaul Blue Demons	W	79 - 72
2025-11-21	vs	Cleveland State Vikings	W	75 - 68
2025-11-28	vs	Abilene Christian Wildcats	W	62 - 59
2025-11-29	@	Missouri Tigers	L	70 - 85
2025-12-03	vs	Kansas Jayhawks	L	62 - 74
2025-12-07	vs	Ohio State Buckeyes	L	70 - 79
2025-12-14	@	Utah Utes	L	66 - 91
2025-12-18	vs	Loyola Chicago Ramblers	L	68 - 69
2025-12-21	@	George Washington Revolutionaries	L	62 - 75
2025-12-29	@	Washington Huskies	L	73 - 94
2026-01-01	@	Oregon Ducks	L	54 - 87
2026-01-05	vs	Iowa Hawkeyes	L	58 - 67
2026-01-08	@	Minnesota Golden Gophers	L	47 - 79
2026-01-11	vs	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	W	73 - 54
2026-01-15	vs	Wisconsin Badgers	W	66 - 61
2026-01-18	@	Illinois Fighting Illini	L	71 - 74
2026-01-25	vs	UCLA Bruins	L	46 - 80
2026-01-28	@	Nebraska Cornhuskers	L	73 - 89
2026-02-01	@	Indiana Hoosiers	L	75 - 89
2026-02-05	vs	USC Trojans	L	65 - 83
2026-02-12	vs	Michigan Wolverines	L	58 - 80
2026-02-15	@	Penn State Lady Lions	L	71 - 81
2026-02-18	@	Michigan State Spartans	L	68 - 104
2026-02-22	vs	Illinois Fighting Illini	L	65 - 92
2026-02-25	@	Maryland Terrapins	L	57 - 79
2026-03-01	vs	Purdue Boilermakers	L	62 - 67

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Grace Sullivan	F	28	33.8	21.4	6.1	1.1	1.1	0.8	2.1	17.4	11.0	-200	25	-8.0	-9.7	53.0	0.0	77.6	1.6	56.1	53.0
Casey Harter	G	26	35.2	10.0	3.3	2.2	0.5	0.5	1.7	8.2	6.7	-198	23	-8.6	-9.9	40.4	35.3	84.1	1.84	54.2	48.8
Tayla Thomas	F	29	24.2	9.7	7.2	0.9	0.6	1.2	2.4	8.2	9.0	-183	26	-7.0	-11.9	43.9	20.0	65.7	-2.06	49.9	45.4
Caroline Lau	G	29	34.1	8.8	5.5	8.4	1.0	0.2	4.3	9.0	10.6	-225	26	-8.7	-10.4	34.9	32.5	67.3	-0.25	45.3	42.7
Xamiya Walton	G	29	29.0	7.1	1.6	1.8	0.8	0.1	1.7	6.2	3.5	-230	26	-8.8	-12.3	39.4	38.7	74.1	0.99	53.4	51.4
Tate Lash	G	27	18.4	4.4	2.1	2.1	0.6	0.2	1.6	4.6	3.3	-18	24	-0.8	-1.7	33.6	15.9	73.7	2.71	42.0	36.4
Kat Righeimer	G	16	10.6	2.9	1.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	2.1	3.1	-48	15	-3.2	-11.6	45.5	33.3	75.0	0.85	60.1	56.1
Claire Keswick	G	16	8.1	1.8	0.1	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.6	2.4	-0.2	6	13	0.5	2.5	23.7	25.7	100.0	-0.95	37.3	35.5
Angelina Hodgens	G	16	6.6	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.6	2.2	0.5	-48	13	-3.7	-21.2	22.2	16.7	80.0	-5.12	33.4	26.4
DaiJa Turner	F	28	10.0	1.3	1.8	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.9	3.1	-48	25	-1.9	-7.7	58.3	0	37.5	-2.06	53.5	58.3
Crystal Wang	F	14	5.1	1.1	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3	-26	13	-2.0	-16.1	36.4	0.0	70.0	-2.71	48.7	36.4
Amparo López	G	20	5.0	0.9	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.6	0.9	0.5	-26	19	-1.4	-10.9	33.3	20.0	83.3	-0.19	46.0	38.9
Rachel Mutombo	F	9	2.6	0.3	0.6	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	-8	9	-0.9	-14.5	50.0	0	50.0	-2.05	52.1	50.0
Sandra Moreno	F	9	2.6	0.0	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4	0.1	0.2	-1	8	-0.1	-2.3	0.0	0	0.0	-0.44	0.0	0.0
Lauren Trumpy	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Sammy White	G	4	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.5	-0.2	-	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-1.89	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Northwestern Wildcats players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Northwestern Wildcats game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

1 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.

Active alumni

Player	At School	League	Team	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG
Nia Coffey	2013-17	WNBA	Minnesota Lynx	44	22.3	6.2	4.2	1.8
Veronica Burton	2018-22	WNBA	Golden State Valkyries	-	-	-	-	-

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-10-19	Veronica Burton	WNBA Playoffs	Golden State Valkyries	vs Atlanta Dream	24	11	7	2	Box
2026-10-17	Veronica Burton	WNBA Playoffs	Golden State Valkyries	vs Atlanta Dream	30	5	4	3	Box
2026-10-09	Veronica Burton	WNBA Playoffs	Golden State Valkyries	@ Las Vegas Aces	37	8	6	4	Box
2026-09-29	Nia Coffey	WNBA Playoffs	Minnesota Lynx	@ New York Liberty	24	10	2	2	Box
2026-09-27	Nia Coffey	WNBA Playoffs	Minnesota Lynx	vs New York Liberty	19	16	1	0	Box
2026-09-24	Nia Coffey	WNBA	Minnesota Lynx	vs Indiana Fever	13	9	4	2	Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1667 located field-goal attempts in 29 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Grace SullivanCaroline LauTayla ThomasCasey HarterXamiya Walton

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	242-384	63.0	484	Grace Sullivan 33% (158 pts)	Tayla Thomas 27% (132 pts)	Tayla Thomas 28% (40 misses)	Grace Sullivan 19% (27 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	171-411	41.6	342	Grace Sullivan 44% (150 pts)	Caroline Lau 16% (54 pts)	Grace Sullivan 28% (68 misses)	Caroline Lau 24% (58 misses)
Mid-range left	63-145	43.4	126	Grace Sullivan 76% (96 pts)	Casey Harter 11% (14 pts)	Grace Sullivan 57% (47 misses)	Casey Harter 15% (12 misses)
Mid-range center	32-75	42.7	64	Grace Sullivan 78% (50 pts)	Xamiya Walton 9% (6 pts)	Grace Sullivan 56% (24 misses)	Tayla Thomas 12% (5 misses)
Mid-range right	46-148	31.1	92	Grace Sullivan 67% (62 pts)	Tate Lash 11% (10 pts)	Grace Sullivan 61% (62 misses)	Tayla Thomas 14% (14 misses)
Left corner 3	19-66	28.8	57	Casey Harter 53% (30 pts)	Xamiya Walton 16% (9 pts)	Casey Harter 40% (19 misses)	Claire Keswick 13% (6 misses)
Right corner 3	11-34	32.4	33	Xamiya Walton 45% (15 pts)	Casey Harter 36% (12 pts)	Casey Harter 30% (7 misses)	Xamiya Walton 26% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left	55-171	32.2	165	Caroline Lau 36% (60 pts)	Xamiya Walton 27% (45 pts)	Caroline Lau 25% (29 misses)	Xamiya Walton 20% (23 misses)
Above-break 3 center	26-80	32.5	78	Caroline Lau 38% (30 pts)	Xamiya Walton 23% (18 pts)	Xamiya Walton 22% (12 misses)	Caroline Lau 20% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 right	43-153	28.1	129	Xamiya Walton 33% (42 pts)	Casey Harter 23% (30 pts)	Caroline Lau 34% (37 misses)	Xamiya Walton 19% (21 misses)