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Duke Blue Devils

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils
Program History

2012 Team Stats (29 games)

75.0
PPG
56.8
Opp
+18.2
Margin
47.7%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
70.9%
FT%
36.0
RPG
16.6
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.9
Adj PPG
48.8
Adj Opp PPG
#5
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1518 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1415 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 1178 (#11) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +30.9 (#5) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +29.0 (#5) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.962 (#10) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +47.2 More → 0.996 (#6) AdjNet +47.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +48.5 More → 0.996 (#5) AdjNet +48.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 48.8 More → 0.934 (#5) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 48.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.871 (#5) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 54.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.957 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.951 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 31 More → 1404 (#7) RD 107 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ BYU Cougars W 61 - 55
2011-11-18 vs Auburn Tigers W 73 - 50
2011-11-20 @ Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 80 - 54
2011-12-01 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 64 - 53
2011-12-04 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 92 - 43
2011-12-08 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 65 - 72
2011-12-11 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 93 - 35
2011-12-20 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 107 - 45
2011-12-30 @ Temple Owls W 65 - 54
2012-01-02 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 77 - 66
2012-01-06 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 76 - 58
2012-01-08 vs NC State Wolfpack W 83 - 59
2012-01-13 vs Florida State Seminoles W 73 - 66
2012-01-15 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 61 - 34
2012-01-18 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 62
2012-01-22 vs Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 72
2012-01-27 @ Clemson Tigers W 81 - 37
2012-01-30 vs UConn Huskies L 45 - 61
2012-02-02 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 75 - 43
2012-02-06 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 96 - 56
2012-02-09 @ Boston College Eagles W 71 - 62
2012-02-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 67 - 57
2012-02-15 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 67 - 45
2012-02-19 @ Maryland Terrapins L 61 - 63
2012-02-24 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 64
2012-02-26 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 69 - 63
2012-03-02 vs NC State Wolfpack L 73 - 75
2012-03-18 vs Samford Bulldogs W 82 - 47
2012-03-20 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 96 - 80
2012-03-24 vs St. John's Red Storm W 74 - 47
2012-03-26 @ Stanford Cardinal L 69 - 81

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Williams E. Williams C 29 0.0 14.1 7.9 1.6 1.6 3.3 3.2 11.9 13.5 248 19 13.1 18.2 47.7 50.0 64.2 3.76 51.2 47.8
T. Liston T. Liston G 16 0.0 12.6 4.8 1.4 1.2 0.0 1.6 8.2 10.1 242 19 12.7 19.8 52.3 49.1 86.0 4.32 66.9 62.5
C. Gray C. Gray G 29 0.0 12.4 4.9 6.3 2.9 0.4 3.5 10.0 13.4 254 19 13.4 17.7 45.5 38.5 85.7 2.65 55.2 49.8
C. Wells C. Wells G 8 0.0 11.2 2.4 4.6 4.0 0.4 1.6 9.6 11.4 137 6 22.8 34.0 45.5 31.6 87.5 5.25 53.5 49.4
Haley Peters Haley Peters F 29 0.0 11.2 5.9 1.3 1.4 0.3 2.7 9.2 8.3 274 19 14.4 21.5 52.8 48.6 73.0 6.93 57.5 56.0
R. Jackson R. Jackson F 16 0.0 10.2 4.8 1.2 1.9 0.0 2.2 7.5 8.4 155 15 10.3 16.6 53.3 42.9 70.7 0.22 59.0 55.8
S. Selby S. Selby NA 15 0.0 8.2 3.1 3.3 1.9 0.1 1.9 7.2 7.5 163 15 10.9 18.9 43.5 25.6 72.0 1.66 51.7 48.6
A. Vernerey A. Vernerey NA 1 0.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 141 19 7.4 21.5 33.3 0 66.7 4.76 41.0 33.3
K. Scheer K. Scheer NA 2 0.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 100 19 5.3 18.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 2.34 51.0 60.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG