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2012-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 51.1% 48.9% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Scheer 0 1-2 - - 1 1 1 2 2 1
S. Selby 0 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 2 3 3 8 7
H. Peters 0 3-5 - 3-4 7 1 2 1 2 9 13
E. Williams 0 6-13 -1 1-4 9 2 1 2 5 13 9
C. Gray 0 4-9 -1 4-6 4 7 7 6 12 15

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. Shegog 0 8-15 - 6-7 6 2 3 4 22 14
K. Gross 0 2-4 1-1 2-4 6 5 1 1 3 7 13
L. Broomfield 0 3-9 - -2 4 2 4 6 -1
C. Wood 0 -2 -2 - 1 1 1 -1
S. White 0 1-8 1-6 - 2 4 2 1 3 2

* = starter