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2012-02-06

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (29.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +40 (96-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. Wood 0 -4 -4 - 2 1 2 -3
S. White 0 -5 -3 - 1 1 4 -7
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 2-13 -1 2-2 4 3 2 1 3 6 0
C. Shegog 0 6-9 - 7-10 3 2 2 19 13
K. Gross 0 4-11 -1 - 7 2 1 3 8 4

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
R. Jackson 0 7-9 1-2 2-4 4 3 1 17 14
H. Peters 0 4-11 1-2 - 5 2 2 9 3
E. Williams 0 5-12 - 3-4 10 5 4 6 5 13 21
C. Gray 0 6-12 2-4 1-2 7 7 4 2 15 19
S. Selby 0 4-8 2-4 - 1 6 1 2 10 8

* = starter