Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (29.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +40 (96-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wood | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. White | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 0 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| S. Selby | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter