Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin | 0 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| L. Gerson | 0 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Moorer | 0 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Jackson | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
* = starter