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2012-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% +3.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (80-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anjale Barrett 0 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 7 2 1 1 7 9 -
Tianna Hawkins 0 8-11 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 3 0 17 15 -
Alicia DeVaughn 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -1 -
Laurin Mincy 0 3-13 1-7 1-1 6 2 0 1 0 8 4 -
Alyssa Thomas 0 10-20 2-3 4-4 10 3 4 0 1 26 22 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richa Jackson 0 5-8 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 2 11 6 -
Chelsea Gray 0 7-16 1-3 2-2 5 11 1 0 3 17 15 -
Haley Peters 0 10-12 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 21 16 -
Elizabeth Williams 0 6-16 0-0 4-4 8 2 1 2 0 16 13 -
Tricia Liston 0 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 3 8 -

* = starter