Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.2% | 13.8% | -10.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -16 (45-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dolson | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Hartley | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Doty | 0 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 0 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 5-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
* = starter