Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Burke | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Goodwin-Coleman | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| B. Holston | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Kastanek | 0 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| E. Tasler | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 0 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
* = starter