Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rayburn | 0 | 5-16 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| S. Ostarello | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Moses | 0 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Houser | 0 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Jones | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Wells | 0 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 2-17 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | - |
* = starter