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2011-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Western Kentucky Lady Toppers Spread Result
Elo 97.3% 2.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 94.6% 5.4% - โœ“
Margin 99.7% 0.3% -32.8 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 75.0% 25.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 97.0% 3.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Lady Toppers -26 (54-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Peters 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 0 3 -
C. Wells 0 5-11 1-4 2-2 2 9 5 0 3 13 15 -
S. Selby 0 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 1 3 5 5 -
E. Williams 0 3-9 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 3 5 7 0 -
C. Gray 0 4-9 1-3 2-2 7 4 3 0 4 11 12 -

Western Kentucky Lady Toppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Govan 0 2-7 1-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 6 6 0 -
C. Means 0 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 9 1 -
K. Mosley 0 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 4 5 3 -
L. Owens 0 2-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
T. Thomas 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter