Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Tanner | 0 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Olsen | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Alverson | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Jennings | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Wells | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Selby | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter