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2011-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 0 8-14 0-0 1-1 6 0 2 1 4 17 8 -
C. Gray 0 2-4 1-1 2-2 5 5 1 0 1 7 13 -
H. Peters 0 5-9 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 8 13 5 -
T. Liston 0 3-8 1-5 4-6 3 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
C. Wells 0 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 4 -2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Milligan 0 5-11 2-4 7-10 3 0 2 0 0 19 13 -
K. Evans 0 3-6 0-0 0-2 2 4 2 0 3 6 5 -
S. Drake 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
A. Smith 0 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Mathies 0 9-15 4-5 1-1 4 0 4 1 6 23 11 -

* = starter