Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Wells | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milligan | 0 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| K. Evans | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Drake | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Mathies | 0 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 11 | - |
* = starter