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Cal Poly

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History
Coach: Joe Callero

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

50.0
PPG
54.0
Opp
-4.0
Margin
37.7%
FG%
23.5%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
27.0
RPG
8.0
APG
8.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.9
Adj PPG
58.4
Adj Opp PPG
#156
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 941 (#258) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +0.7 (#155) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +0.4 (#164) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.452 (#192) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.474 (#168) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.474 (#166) AdjNet -0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 58.4 More → 0.513 (#156) AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 58.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.499 (#175) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 58.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.442 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 27 More → 923 (#229) RD 135 | GP 27

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 49 - 65
2014-11-18 vs San Francisco State Gators W 65 - 44
2014-11-21 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 78 - 60
2014-11-26 @ California Golden Bears L 52 - 72
2014-11-29 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 56 - 82
2014-12-06 vs Menlo Oaks W 72 - 35
2014-12-13 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 57 - 63
2014-12-15 @ San Francisco Dons W 78 - 71
2014-12-17 vs Northeastern Huskies W 60 - 58
2014-12-20 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 50 - 63
2014-12-23 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 69 - 58
2014-12-30 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 71 - 57
2015-01-07 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 61 - 57
2015-01-10 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 45 - 50
2015-01-15 @ Long Beach State Beach L 48 - 50
2015-01-17 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 48 - 55
2015-01-22 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 66 - 55
2015-01-24 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 68 - 49
2015-01-29 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 57 - 67
2015-01-31 @ UC Davis Aggies L 78 - 81
2015-02-05 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 56 - 59
2015-02-12 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 70 - 63
2015-02-14 vs Long Beach State Beach W 71 - 58
2015-02-19 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 65 - 54
2015-02-21 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 44 - 48
2015-02-26 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 56 - 63
2015-02-28 vs UC Davis Aggies L 56 - 66
2015-03-07 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 56 - 64
2015-03-12 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 50 - 54

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brian Bennett Brian Bennett F 27 30.3 11.6 6.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 1.2 3.3 15.4 9 22 0.4 0.6 52.3 0 66.7 0.85 163.2 52.3
David Nwaba David Nwaba G 23 27.2 11.3 4.7 1.4 1.3 0.6 1.5 2.4 15.4 -33 19 -1.7 -2.8 41.1 0.0 58.8 -1.28 204.0 41.1
Reese Morgan Reese Morgan G 25 21.3 10.0 3.2 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.0 1.9 12.3 -27 20 -1.4 -2.8 41.7 41.4 90.0 -1.14 219.2 54.2
G. Vincent G. Vincent - 2 25.0 9.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 450.0 75.0
Joel Awich Joel Awich F 27 29.1 8.8 6.1 1.3 0.7 1.4 1.5 2.7 14.0 12 22 0.5 0.8 34.2 30.8 60.0 0.97 153.7 39.7
Ridge Shipley Ridge Shipley G 25 25.9 8.4 1.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 1.4 2.4 9.5 -35 21 -1.7 -2.8 38.3 35.9 77.8 -2.25 164.2 50.0
Maliik Love Maliik Love G 27 28.3 5.6 3.7 2.8 0.7 0.2 1.6 1.9 9.5 5 22 0.2 0.4 51.9 33.3 60.0 0.21 123.4 52.9
Michael Bolden Michael Bolden G 27 22.7 4.9 2.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.4 7.1 21 22 1.0 1.8 35.1 32.1 60.0 1.38 167.1 47.3
Mark Patterson Mark Patterson G 2 6.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Anthony Silvestri Anthony Silvestri F 23 9.5 1.3 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 -23 18 -1.3 -5.9 11.8 12.5 0.0 -1.58 86.0 17.6
Alberto Ganis Alberto Ganis - 6 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 - - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Aleks Abrams Aleks Abrams F 25 7.4 0.6 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 2.6 -37 20 -1.9 -11.1 16.7 0 100.0 -3.52 101.7 16.7
K.J. Logue K.J. Logue - 8 4.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG