Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Steve McClellan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Kennedy Esume * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Sheldon Blackwell * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gentry | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Joe Boyd | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jamar Akoh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Temjae Singleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Awich * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter