Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | +14.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +26 (82-56). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nwaba * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alberto Ganis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Naar * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Brad Waldow * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 37 | - |
| Kerry Carter * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Dane Pineau | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Garrett Jackson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jock Landale | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Treaven Duffy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Biebel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter