Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Awich * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K.J. Logue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Nelson * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Young * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Travis Souza * | 29 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| W. Davis II * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| John Ryan * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jaron Martin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mike Best | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ioannis Dimakopoulos | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter