Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -11 (54-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 32 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K.J. Logue | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gentry * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Esume * | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Steve McClellan * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jamar Akoh | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sheldon Blackwell | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Temjae Singleton | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Joe Boyd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter