Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Awich * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K.J. Logue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Evans * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Joseph Edwards * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Joe Reed * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah McCray * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Brent Calhoun * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Calder | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Steve Forbes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Gunjina | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Herbert Graham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter