Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Nevels * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Roderick Bobbitt * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Valdes * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Mike Thomas * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Stefan Jovanovic * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Negus Webster-Chan | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Fleming | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Logue | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter