Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -5 (45-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Zalmico Harmon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Michael Bryson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mitch Brewe * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| John Green | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sam Beeler | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Hunter Ford | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eric Childress | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennett * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| G. Vincent * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter